The tropics are quiet into next week after Tropical Storm Isaias blasted the East Coast, but the key hurricane outlook for the Atlantic basin from the research team at Colorado State University is what really has our attention.
The latest outlook from CSU calls for 24 named storms, 12 of which are expected to become hurricanes, and five becoming major hurricanes, which are Category 3 or higher with winds greater than 110 mph.
"We have increased our forecast and now call for an extremely active 2020 Atlantic hurricane season," CSU researchers said on their website. "Sea surface temperatures averaged across the tropical Atlantic are much warmer than normal, and vertical wind shear is well below average."
The initial season forecast from CSU called for 16 named storms, but the 2020 season ended up producing 9 storms by early August, ahead of the most active part of the season.
If the forecast tallies with the number of named storms, it would bring us to the Greek alphabet, which has not happened since 2005, the year of Hurricane Katrina.
Government forecasters from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) will release their updated forecast on Thursday as we get into peak season.
Researchers at CSU advised that as the case with all hurricane seasons, coastal residents were reminded that it only takes one hurricane making landfall to make it an active season for them.
"They should prepare the same for every season, regardless of how much activity is predicted," the group said.
This 2020 season has been active and record-breaking so far. The ninth named storm this season, Hurricane Isaias, made landfall near Ocean Isle Beach, N.C., on Monday after it broke the record for the earliest "I" storm in the Atlantic basin.
"This is the earliest on record that 5 Atlantic named storms have made continental US landfall," tweeted CSU hurricane research scientist Phil Klotzbach.
While hurricane season runs from June 1 to Nov 30, the busiest stretch is from late August through early October.
Forecasters said there's a combination of several climate factors driving the above-normal activity in the Atlantic this year.
The 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season includes the names: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky and Wilfred.